A glass box, not a black box.

Claridian is a research and educational prototype that estimates psychosis risk from clinical indicators such as suspiciousness, unusual thoughts, perceptual changes, social withdrawal, thinking and attention difficulties, sleep patterns, daily functioning, family history, and substance use. Information can be collected through a guided questionnaire, a written note, or a conversation with an AI therapist.

Unlike many AI systems that rely on opaque neural networks, Claridian uses transparent fuzzy-logic reasoning. Each clinical signal is converted into interpretable levels such as low, moderate, or high and evaluated through a visible set of expert-defined rules designed to reflect clinical reasoning.

Every risk score is fully traceable. Users can see which factors contributed to the assessment, how the relevant rules were applied, and how the final 0–100 risk score and risk band were produced. This transparency makes the system easier to understand, evaluate, and trust, turning risk estimation into a process that can be inspected rather than simply accepted.

What the score measuresRisk of developing psychosis, not a diagnosis that you have it.

Claridian estimates the likelihood that a person is in the prodromal phase, the at-risk mental state that can precede a psychotic disorder such as schizophrenia, and how strongly their current signals point toward it. It does not detect or diagnose psychosis, and it does not say a person will certainly develop it.

A high score means several early warning signs cluster together in a pattern that research associates with raised risk during this phase. It is a probability, not a destiny: most people who receive early support never go on to develop a psychotic disorder. The score is designed to prompt a conversation with a qualified clinician, never to replace one.

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10 clinical signalsTracked across every assessment
02
3 input methodsQuestionnaire, Text and Voice
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3 inference enginesSugeno, Mamdani and ANFIS
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0–100 scoreTransparent and fully traceable

Three ways to reason about risk.

The risk here is the risk of developing psychosis during the prodromal phase, not a diagnosis that psychosis is present. Each input method is paired with the fuzzy-inference approach that best fits the shape of its data.

Sugeno

Takagi–Sugeno · Questionnaire

Crisp, linear rule outputs blended by a weighted average. Fast, stable and easy to audit, which fits the precise 0 to 10 answers of the guided questionnaire.

Mamdani

Mamdani · Text input

Fully fuzzy sets on the inputs and the output, combined and defuzzified into a score. Its intuitive linguistic rules suit the softer signal estimates parsed from a free-text note.

IF susp. high THEN risk high
IF sleep poor THEN risk med
IF social low THEN risk low

ANFIS

Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy · Voice

A hybrid that places a learning layer over a fuzzy system, tuning its membership functions from data while keeping the rule structure interpretable. It backs the conversational voice assessment.

The research behind the signals.

Claridian is built on established psychiatric instruments and the fuzzy-inference literature. The ten signals are not arbitrary: each is drawn from validated at-risk assessment tools, and every engine has a peer-reviewed foundation.

Why these ten signals?

The signals mirror the attenuated positive, negative, cognitive and behavioural items rated by the two instruments that dominate at-risk research: the Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States (CAARMS) from the PACE clinic in Melbourne (Yung et al., 2005) and the Structured Interview for Prodromal Syndromes (SIPS) with its Scale of Prodromal Symptoms (Miller et al., 2003).

Suspiciousness · Unusual thoughts · Perceptual changesCAARMS / SIPS attenuated positive symptoms
Social withdrawal · FunctioningNegative symptoms and decline in role functioning
Disorganisation (coherence) · AttentionDisorganised speech and cognitive items
Sleep disruptionCircadian disturbance, an early prodromal marker
Family history · Substance useTrait/state vulnerability and modifiable risk factors

Why fuzzy logic and these engines?

The prodrome is ambiguous: symptoms sit on a continuum and resist crisp yes/no thresholds. Fuzzy logic (Zadeh, 1965) represents partial truth and keeps reasoning legible. The three engines are standard, peer-reviewed forms: the Mamdani model (Mamdani & Assilian, 1975), the Takagi–Sugeno model (Takagi & Sugeno, 1985), and ANFIS, a trainable neuro-fuzzy network (Jang, 1993). Because predictions come from readable IF–THEN rules, fuzzy systems are inherently explainable (Alonso Moral et al., 2021; Loh et al., 2022), unlike post-hoc explainers bolted onto black boxes.

Built by a small team.

Claridian is developed and evaluated by researchers and clinicians across academia and the NHS.

Daniel Emelike

AI Researcher & Developer · Manchester Metropolitan University

Designed and built the entire Claridian system end to end, from the fuzzy engine to the interface.

KC

Keeley Crockett

Professor in Computational Intelligence · Manchester Metropolitan University

Fuzzy-systems expert who evaluates Claridian's inference models for soundness, fairness and rigour.

CI

Catherine Ichekwai

Mental Health Nurse · NHS England

Evaluates the system against clinical metrics and real-world relevance to front-line mental-health care.